Declaring a ‘War on Death’
may be more productive than declaring a war on taxes. It may even be technologically possible. Why then don’t we declare a war on death?
In a letter to
Jean-Baptiste Leroy in 1789, Benjamin Franklin wrote:
“Our new Constitution is now established, and has an appearance that
promises permanency; but in the world nothing can be said to be certain except
death and taxes.”
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Death and taxes |
He wrote this letter in
French to his friend within a few weeks after the founding structural document had
been adopted.
In recent times, many have
spoken out that we need to reduce taxes.
Some, like Grover
Norquist, have even declared an informal ‘war on taxes’. The basic idea is to reduce the percentage of
taxes paid by citizens.
What if, instead of taxes,
we declared a “war on death”?
The battlefield of such a
war would be to push the length of productive life for humans to as long as we
can make it. Not just healthy habits to live
longer, but technologies to extend life-spans dramatically.
Why We Struggle
Assume for a moment that
it is technologically feasible to double the length of a person’s life. What would be the result?
Longer lives give each
person more time. More time to learn,
more time to work and more time to play.
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Longer childhoods |
With longer time to learn
we could become smarter and wiser before we begin to impact society. Extending childhood by ten years or more
would give parents more time to build character and values into their
children. Education could be extended to
cover more information allowing a better educated electorate.
With longer time to work,
each life would be more productive. As
time goes by, people become better at their vocations, so skills would have
more time to be practiced and used. A
longer working life would also allow more time to save for retirement and old
age, reducing individual’s burdens upon society.
With longer time to play,
the quality of our lives could be increased.
Investing effort into our families, communities and culture could
improve the quality of our lives.
Progress So Far
As fantastic as the idea
may seem, we have already more than doubled the average life-span in developed
countries.
In medieval Britain, the
average length of life was about 30 years.
By the 1600’s the average age of death had been pushed up to 35
years. By the 1900, the average jumped
to over 50 years. Now it is typical to
live until our mid-70s.
Much of the historical
improvement in length of life has been due to nutrition, hygiene, and reduced
infant mortality. Science and cultural
practice worked together to allow doubling of years lived.
Assuming one made it
through childhood, had healthy habits, and disease or dangerous conditions did
not kill a person early, the maximum length of life has stayed fairly
stable.
Our progress so far has
been about eliminating the causes of death rather than extending the length of
life.
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Cells degrade |
Technology and Habit
To achieve long life-spans,
we need to make progress on the causes of aging. We would have to increase the longevity of
each individual to make new gains in life-span.
If we view our bodies as a
process, we can work on extending the functioning of the components that make
the process work.
Aging and eventual death
are caused by accumulative changes to the complex molecules and cells that we
are made of. Several factors contribute
to aging and death.
Most cells only divide about 50 times before
toxins, irradiation, and errors break down DNA so it is no longer viable.
Some plants and animals
have genetic
repair capabilities that could be researched in order to build technologies
in order to overcome DNA breakdown.
Learning how the regenerative capacity of these creatures work would be
one place to start looking.
There are other
technologies that could be developed to extend life-spans.
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Current sources of pluripotent stem cells |
Pluripotent stem cells can
be induced
to become other types of cells. Although
previously controversial because of embryonic stem cells, it is now possible to
induce adult skin cells to become other cells. We may soon be able to use our own cells as building blocks.
Researchers have recently discovered
technology that allows a mouse skin cell to become a brain cell. Extending these tools could allow us to grow
our own, custom built replacement parts.
Each individual would have
to improve their own habits in order to minimize cell and DNA damage. Bad practices already can lead to shortened
lives.
We could choose as a
society to institute cultural institutions that would promote better
behavior. Parents, teachers, churches
and other influencers could help instill the virtues of healthy habits.
Dangers Overcome
With current birth rates,
more people would place more demand on resources. We may have to adjust our rates of
consumption or improve our technologies in order to not deplete some limited
resources.
With more time and
education, we may be able to overcome these kinds of challenges. With more at stake in a longer future,
individuals could be motivated to be more prudent in their choices and habits.
If a revolutionary
technology were to appear that suddenly and drastically increased life-spans,
there would be social upheaval to deal with.
Those unable to afford the
technology could become quite jealous.
Those who control the technology could become quite powerful.
I will not pretend that
the consequences of life extending technologies will not present difficult
challenges. However to turn away from
the technology because of the challenges seems a foolish reason not to try. As a parent, I find it a moral imperative to
give my children the opportunity for long, healthy productive lives.
Cost Benefit
Each year the U.S. economy
is about $15,800,000,000,000 (almost $16 trillion). This only represents about a quarter of the
world’s economic output in a given year.
Even if it costs $16
trillion to develop and roll out a technology that would double life-spans, the
payoff in productivity would greatly outweigh the costs.
On average each person
works over 30 years of their life now,
doubling working time to 60 years of productivity is one payoff.
The labor return on
capital investment for such a technology could be as high as 3000% on the one
year investment.
Even taking the ultra-conservative
approach that the benefit would cover the costs is still a wise move. Who would not want to live twice as long if
the costs to do so were covered?
The extra years of labor a
person could have are added on to the end of their current careers meaning
their expertise would be greater. The
payoff to society for each person who gains a doubling of lifespan would be
more than a quantity of dollars, but also be a qualitative improvement in
labor.
With life expectancy in
the mid-70’s a person is employed over
90,000 hours in their lives. Even
improving this number by half would be an enormous gain in professional output.
Who Should Fund it?
Like with the Atom Bomb,
life extending technology would have to be controlled by society to ensure
power was not concentrated in the hands of the few.
If at some future time a
private institution were to fund and discover technologies that dramatically
expand life, they would be in a position of vast power. With current patent law, this could upset
cultural and societal structures beyond repair.
Currently, no institution
but government has the capability to focus and fund such large scale research.
Allowing government
funding could make the research publicly available and keep the power of such
technologies focused on the whole of society rather than just a few people.
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Baby's future in the balance |
The nation that achieves
this technology first will be at great advantage to those nations that do not
have it. The first mover advantage of
longer life-spans could be enormous. For this reason, peaceful nations may even
want to share the burden of costs and the benefits of discovery.
The research would not
have to be funded all at once. Given the
potential outcome, even some public debt would be warranted as payoffs could
easily overcome its risks and costs.
Even if the effort were to
fail, the knowledge that it is not possible to future generations would be a
boon. Knowing that a war on death is not
winnable is information that can effect how future generations would live our
lives.
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How long can we delay? |
Dream On
It is easy to dismiss such
ideas “out of hand”.
Some will think their
religious doctrines threatened. Others
will doubt it is even possible.
It seems reasonable that
Aristotle, Isaac Newton, or even Madam Curie would have seen the idea of
putting a man on the moon as fanciful science fiction.
Consider for a moment the
alternative. If we could make life
longer and do not, are we not acting immorally to future generations?
Perhaps extending life-spans is fanciful.
We must however ask
ourselves; what if it is not? What if it
could be?